Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Barcelona with a 16.4% chance, Mérida beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 11.9% chance, and Celta Vigo beat Tenerife with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 64.5% | 49.8% | −14.7 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 64.8% | 76.4% | +11.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 82.9% | 71.9% | −11.0 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 29.5% | 19.0% | −10.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 37.5% | 45.9% | +8.4 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 12.2% | 19.6% | +7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 13.0% | 19.9% | +6.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 25.3% | 32.1% | +6.8 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 16.2% | 22.8% | +6.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 12.1% | 18.6% | +6.5 |
