Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Racing Santander with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 15 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida | Relegation | 56.3% | 45.0% | −11.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 53.1% | 45.1% | −8.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 22.2% | 29.5% | +7.3 |
| Mallorca | Relegation play-off | 16.6% | 10.0% | −6.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 18.3% | 24.9% | +6.5 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 51.8% | 58.0% | +6.2 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 21.9% | 15.8% | −6.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 75.2% | 69.6% | −5.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 11.7% | 6.5% | −5.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 24.7% | 29.8% | +5.0 |
