Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Valladolid beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 18.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 15.1% | 5.9% | −9.1 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Champions League | 15.6% | 7.5% | −8.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 45.6% | 52.4% | +6.8 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 45.3% | 51.8% | +6.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 69.4% | 75.2% | +5.9 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 53.6% | 59.4% | +5.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 20.3% | 14.5% | −5.8 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 47.6% | 53.1% | +5.5 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation play-off | 23.0% | 17.5% | −5.5 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 9.2% | 3.9% | −5.3 |
