Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Tenerife with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 19.5% | 8.2% | −11.2 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 38.4% | 47.7% | +9.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 42.7% | 51.9% | +9.2 |
| Mallorca | Relegation play-off | 23.9% | 14.7% | −9.2 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 57.4% | 66.0% | +8.6 |
| Tenerife | Champions League | 15.2% | 7.7% | −7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 22.8% | 28.5% | +5.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 37.6% | 42.9% | +5.4 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | Europa League | 18.9% | 24.0% | +5.0 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 9.2% | 14.0% | +4.8 |
