Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Salamanca beat Real Valladolid with a 9.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 33.8% | 19.5% | −14.4 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 24.1% | 38.4% | +14.3 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 57.9% | 43.8% | −14.1 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 39.5% | 50.7% | +11.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 26.4% | 16.6% | −9.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 49.6% | 57.4% | +7.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 35.5% | 42.7% | +7.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 30.7% | 37.6% | +6.9 |
| Real Betis | Champion | 13.1% | 6.9% | −6.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation play-off | 16.9% | 11.0% | −5.9 |
