Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Compostela beat Deportivo La Coruña with a 20.8% chance and Racing Santander beat Real Betis with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida | Relegation | 32.2% | 79.8% | +47.6 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 59.0% | 20.2% | −38.8 |
| Salamanca | Relegation play-off | 24.0% | 57.8% | +33.8 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation | 48.7% | 15.4% | −33.3 |
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 57.3% | 31.7% | −25.6 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation play-off | 41.3% | 63.3% | +22.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 44.6% | 61.6% | +17.0 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 44.9% | 60.9% | +16.0 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 18.7% | 4.9% | −13.8 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 14.3% | 27.0% | +12.7 |
