Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Salamanca beat Barcelona with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 31.7% | 100% | +68.3 |
| Salamanca | Relegation play-off | 57.8% | 0% | −57.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 45.2% | 100% | +54.8 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 60.9% | 100% | +39.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 61.6% | 100% | +38.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 38.4% | 0% | −38.4 |
| Real Oviedo | Relegation play-off | 63.3% | 100% | +36.7 |
| Mallorca | Europa League | 33.2% | 0% | −33.1 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 27.0% | 0% | −27.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 22.3% | 0% | −22.3 |
