Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 25 (before the first match) against those on March 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida | Relegation | 27.1% | 13.1% | −14.0 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 20.3% | 31.1% | +10.8 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 17.1% | 27.3% | +10.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 16.7% | 6.9% | −9.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 61.4% | 71.0% | +9.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 15.9% | 25.4% | +9.5 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 79.8% | 88.1% | +8.2 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 56.1% | 63.6% | +7.5 |
| Mérida | Relegation play-off | 40.7% | 34.4% | −6.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 21.2% | 27.4% | +6.2 |