Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Real Sociedad with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 2 (before the first match) against those on March 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 63.6% | 80.3% | +16.7 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 34.1% | 18.7% | −15.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 28.5% | 13.9% | −14.7 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 32.3% | 18.7% | −13.6 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 14.4% | 25.0% | +10.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 25.4% | 35.9% | +10.4 |
| Tenerife | Relegation | 15.8% | 25.0% | +9.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.0% | 62.9% | −8.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 88.1% | 94.4% | +6.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Champions League | 4.8% | 10.9% | +6.1 |
