Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Real Betis with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 15 (before the first match) against those on February 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | Champion | 41.1% | 55.7% | +14.7 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 49.1% | 36.1% | −13.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 68.8% | 80.4% | +11.7 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 15.8% | 27.0% | +11.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 40.6% | 29.4% | −11.2 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 39.3% | 31.7% | −7.6 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 22.0% | 14.9% | −7.2 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 21.8% | 14.8% | −7.0 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 68.7% | 61.9% | −6.9 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 10.9% | 17.5% | +6.6 |
