Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Athletic Club with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 9 (before the first match) against those on February 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 54.3% | 68.7% | +14.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 27.7% | 40.6% | +12.9 |
| Mérida | Relegation | 28.3% | 15.8% | −12.5 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 37.0% | 49.1% | +12.1 |
| Tenerife | Relegation play-off | 29.5% | 39.3% | +9.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 10.7% | 20.4% | +9.7 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 29.9% | 22.9% | −7.0 |
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 28.6% | 35.4% | +6.9 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 15.5% | 9.1% | −6.3 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 30.5% | 25.2% | −5.2 |
