Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Real Zaragoza beat Espanyol with a 20.9% chance and Real Valladolid beat Valencia with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 2 (before the first match) against those on February 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 24.5% | 15.1% | −9.4 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 28.3% | 37.0% | +8.7 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation play-off | 13.8% | 6.0% | −7.8 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation | 10.2% | 3.6% | −6.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 31.7% | 25.8% | −5.9 |
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 23.2% | 28.6% | +5.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 13.6% | 17.8% | +4.2 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 6.8% | 2.7% | −4.1 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation play-off | 17.1% | 21.3% | +4.1 |
| Celta Vigo | Europa League | 7.3% | 10.7% | +3.5 |
