Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Real Madrid with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 26 (before the first match) against those on February 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.5% | 54.8% | −16.7 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 43.5% | 27.9% | −15.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 18.7% | 31.7% | +13.0 |
| Real Madrid | Europa League | 21.6% | 30.6% | +9.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 38.1% | 46.9% | +8.8 |
| Compostela | Relegation | 14.9% | 7.6% | −7.3 |
| Compostela | Relegation play-off | 30.5% | 23.2% | −7.3 |
| Real Valladolid | Relegation play-off | 18.7% | 24.5% | +5.8 |
| Real Sociedad | Champion | 6.0% | 11.8% | +5.8 |
| Valencia | Relegation play-off | 8.6% | 3.1% | −5.5 |
