Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Vasco with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on August 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confiança | Relegation | 24.2% | 83.5% | +59.4 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 12.2% | 65.0% | +52.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 44.8% | 0.3% | −44.5 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 2.1% | 44.4% | +42.3 |
| CSA | Relegation | 44.0% | 13.1% | −30.9 |
| Brusque | Promotion | 66.6% | 37.3% | −29.3 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 49.3% | 23.2% | −26.1 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 22.7% | 46.7% | +24.0 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 1.4% | 24.9% | +23.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 31.1% | 52.3% | +21.2 |
