Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Confiança beat Sampaio Corrêa with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 28.8% | 16.8% | −12.0 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 76.5% | 88.2% | +11.8 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 81.1% | 90.5% | +9.4 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 71.5% | 80.6% | +9.1 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 16.0% | 25.1% | +9.1 |
| Confiança | Relegation | 97.4% | 88.9% | −8.5 |
| CSA | Relegation | 10.4% | 2.6% | −7.9 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 13.7% | 8.0% | −5.8 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 45.3% | 50.7% | +5.4 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 92.0% | 97.3% | +5.3 |
