Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Avaí with a 24.3% chance and Náutico beat Guarani with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 29 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Champion | 45.8% | 74.3% | +28.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 82.7% | 61.9% | −20.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 20.3% | 39.6% | +19.3 |
| América-MG | Champion | 25.9% | 11.9% | −14.0 |
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 88.6% | 98.2% | +9.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 78.6% | 70.9% | −7.6 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 36.0% | 29.4% | −6.5 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 17.8% | 11.8% | −6.0 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 45.7% | 51.3% | +5.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 10.5% | 5.2% | −5.3 |
