Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cuiabá beat Avaí with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 25 (before the first match) against those on November 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 14.1% | 36.0% | +21.9 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 65.8% | 45.7% | −20.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 35.3% | 17.8% | −17.5 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 29.6% | 45.2% | +15.6 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 22.9% | 8.8% | −14.0 |
| CSA | Promotion | 20.6% | 33.6% | +13.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 25.5% | 12.9% | −12.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 72.3% | 82.7% | +10.4 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 55.7% | 45.8% | −10.0 |
| Confiança | Promotion | 7.1% | 14.3% | +7.2 |
