Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Palmeiras with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 19 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 45.2% | 71.9% | +26.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 27.0% | 47.3% | +20.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 30.8% | 11.2% | −19.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 29.9% | 12.2% | −17.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 31.1% | 13.8% | −17.3 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 66.1% | 49.1% | −16.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 22.5% | 39.5% | +16.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 57.3% | 74.1% | +16.9 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 42.5% | 25.6% | −16.8 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 60.0% | 76.6% | +16.5 |
