Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Sport with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 53.8% | 22.3% | −31.5 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 19.3% | 43.1% | +23.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 43.3% | 23.9% | −19.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 40.6% | 21.2% | −19.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 65.7% | 46.4% | −19.3 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 45.0% | 26.2% | −18.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 27.1% | 44.7% | +17.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 24.9% | 41.8% | +17.0 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 39.3% | 55.6% | +16.3 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 30.5% | 45.6% | +15.1 |
