Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Cruzeiro with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on June 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 24.8% | 37.2% | +12.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 16.7% | 28.0% | +11.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 26.1% | 15.5% | −10.5 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 24.6% | 14.6% | −10.0 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 82.3% | 73.4% | −8.9 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 16.2% | 24.3% | +8.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 6.9% | 13.6% | +6.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 12.6% | 18.7% | +6.1 |
| Sport | Libertadores | 30.3% | 36.2% | +6.0 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 30.5% | 24.6% | −5.9 |
