Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Atletico-MG with a 21.4% chance and Avaí beat Goiás with a 15.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 5 (before the first match) against those on June 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Relegation | 47.9% | 32.3% | −15.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 44.5% | 30.8% | −13.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 40.4% | 50.2% | +9.8 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 35.4% | 27.0% | −8.4 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 33.6% | 25.5% | −8.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 18.1% | 10.3% | −7.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 37.4% | 45.1% | +7.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 11.4% | 19.0% | +7.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 43.3% | 50.1% | +6.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 18.1% | 24.0% | +5.9 |
