Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Coritiba with a 17.2% chance and Palmeiras beat Corinthians with a 13.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 24 (before the first match) against those on May 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 44.8% | 27.6% | −17.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 54.1% | 38.2% | −15.9 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 44.9% | 29.1% | −15.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 29.8% | 18.2% | −11.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 23.4% | 34.8% | +11.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 41.3% | 30.4% | −10.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 53.2% | 63.8% | +10.6 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 21.7% | 32.1% | +10.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 27.4% | 37.0% | +9.6 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 17.7% | 27.2% | +9.5 |
