Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Cruzeiro with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 41.7% | 27.1% | −14.6 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 18.8% | 31.6% | +12.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 33.8% | 21.5% | −12.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 18.1% | 28.5% | +10.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 30.9% | 41.1% | +10.2 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 29.7% | 20.2% | −9.4 |
| Sport | Libertadores | 10.1% | 18.9% | +8.8 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 72.2% | 64.3% | −8.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 16.3% | 8.5% | −7.8 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 24.1% | 31.5% | +7.4 |
