Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat São Paulo with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 6 (before the first match) against those on July 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 42.7% | 54.3% | +11.6 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 21.3% | 30.1% | +8.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 23.6% | 15.0% | −8.6 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 16.5% | 8.9% | −7.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 10.1% | 17.3% | +7.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 30.4% | 24.0% | −6.4 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 12.4% | 6.5% | −5.9 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 5.8% | 11.4% | +5.6 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 12.3% | 7.1% | −5.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 9.1% | 13.5% | +4.3 |
