Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Santos with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 15 (before the first match) against those on July 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 60.2% | 46.9% | −13.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 54.3% | 63.0% | +8.8 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 21.6% | 12.8% | −8.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 20.2% | 28.6% | +8.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 22.3% | 15.5% | −6.8 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 17.8% | 24.2% | +6.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 40.5% | 46.9% | +6.4 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 15.0% | 9.3% | −5.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 24.0% | 29.6% | +5.6 |
| Ceará | Libertadores | 19.8% | 14.3% | −5.5 |
