Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Avaí with a 20.1% chance, Goiás beat Flamengo with a 18.9% chance, and Ceará beat Atletico-MG with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 3 (before the first match) against those on June 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 11.6% | 23.1% | +11.5 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 22.5% | 13.2% | −9.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 53.8% | 63.0% | +9.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 33.2% | 24.1% | −9.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 30.2% | 21.3% | −8.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 86.1% | 77.8% | −8.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 22.1% | 30.4% | +8.3 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 8.4% | 16.5% | +8.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 18.2% | 11.1% | −7.1 |
| Ceará | Libertadores | 14.3% | 20.8% | +6.5 |
