Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Palmeiras with a 24.4% chance and Guarani beat Vasco with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on June 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 42.1% | 30.2% | −11.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 42.4% | 53.8% | +11.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 48.7% | 37.3% | −11.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 34.0% | 44.5% | +10.5 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 20.8% | 29.1% | +8.3 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 25.0% | 33.2% | +8.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 15.4% | 8.4% | −7.0 |
| Avaí | Libertadores | 17.5% | 10.5% | −7.0 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 15.8% | 22.5% | +6.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 24.3% | 17.8% | −6.5 |
