Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Atletico-MG with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 22 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 37.3% | 15.4% | −21.8 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 32.6% | 14.3% | −18.3 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 18.6% | 34.0% | +15.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 33.6% | 48.7% | +15.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 68.7% | 82.5% | +13.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 12.0% | 24.3% | +12.2 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 9.8% | 20.8% | +11.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 21.4% | 12.3% | −9.2 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 33.0% | 42.1% | +9.1 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 13.1% | 21.9% | +8.8 |
