Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Botafogo with a 23.4% chance, Atletico-MG beat Palmeiras with a 21.1% chance, and Fluminense beat São Paulo with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 63.6% | 27.7% | −35.8 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 23.9% | 57.8% | +33.9 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 51.2% | 28.7% | −22.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 23.6% | 46.1% | +22.5 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 19.8% | 42.2% | +22.5 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 64.5% | 85.9% | +21.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 40.3% | 19.0% | −21.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 35.2% | 14.1% | −21.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 20.9% | 41.4% | +20.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 22.8% | 3.2% | −19.6 |
