Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Internacional with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 7 (before the first match) against those on November 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 34.5% | 63.6% | +29.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 54.8% | 80.2% | +25.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 65.7% | 90.0% | +24.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores Second Round | 33.1% | 10.0% | −23.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 72.9% | 51.2% | −21.7 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 42.3% | 23.9% | −18.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 21.4% | 35.2% | +13.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 78.2% | 64.5% | −13.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 17.3% | 30.6% | +13.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 26.3% | 13.0% | −13.3 |
