Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Palmeiras with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 21 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 42.2% | 78.3% | +36.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 46.1% | 78.3% | +32.2 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 28.7% | <0.1% | −28.7 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 27.6% | 52.5% | +24.9 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 26.6% | 6.5% | −20.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 20.1% | <0.1% | −20.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 51.1% | 67.6% | +16.5 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 42.2% | 25.9% | −16.3 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 36.0% | 21.8% | −14.3 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 27.7% | 14.2% | −13.5 |
