Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat São Paulo with a 24.2% chance and Athletico-PR beat Flamengo with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 22.2% | 39.9% | +17.7 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 31.6% | 16.9% | −14.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 14.3% | 2.8% | −11.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 55.8% | 65.7% | +10.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 7.3% | 17.3% | +10.0 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 25.9% | 34.5% | +8.5 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 10.8% | 2.4% | −8.4 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 50.3% | 42.3% | −8.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 15.5% | 22.9% | +7.5 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 30.2% | 37.4% | +7.2 |
