Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Cruzeiro with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 72.2% | 47.6% | −24.6 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 34.9% | 55.8% | +20.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 38.9% | 19.8% | −19.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores Second Round | 24.3% | 43.1% | +18.8 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores Second Round | 48.4% | 35.3% | −13.1 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 13.0% | 25.9% | +12.9 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 19.5% | 31.6% | +12.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 22.7% | 11.1% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 19.4% | 8.6% | −10.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 22.0% | 12.4% | −9.6 |
