Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat Fluminense with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 32.2% | 54.3% | +22.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 11.8% | 27.8% | +16.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 67.7% | 52.8% | −14.9 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 53.9% | 40.0% | −13.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 80.0% | 67.4% | −12.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 72.3% | 83.1% | +10.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores Second Round | 45.0% | 34.5% | −10.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 60.9% | 51.0% | −10.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 16.4% | 6.5% | −9.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 40.4% | 30.8% | −9.6 |
