Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Atlético-GO with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 83.8% | 67.7% | −16.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 58.9% | 71.7% | +12.9 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 14.0% | 22.4% | +8.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 14.9% | 22.7% | +7.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 33.6% | 40.4% | +6.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 9.4% | 15.6% | +6.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 22.5% | 17.0% | −5.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 4.4% | 9.7% | +5.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 37.4% | 32.2% | −5.2 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 21.4% | 16.4% | −5.1 |
