Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Corinthians with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 77.8% | 56.7% | −21.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 51.0% | 31.4% | −19.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 54.3% | 71.5% | +17.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 27.8% | 44.6% | +16.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores Second Round | 34.5% | 23.2% | −11.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 24.5% | 13.4% | −11.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 52.8% | 62.9% | +10.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 83.1% | 74.3% | −8.8 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 40.0% | 31.6% | −8.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 39.0% | 47.2% | +8.2 |
