Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Goiás with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 81.8% | 64.6% | −17.2 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 67.4% | 78.3% | +11.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 69.9% | 79.9% | +10.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 21.5% | 12.0% | −9.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 73.3% | 82.5% | +9.2 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 46.6% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 14.0% | 6.5% | −7.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 66.5% | 73.1% | +6.5 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 9.7% | 3.2% | −6.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 44.9% | 51.2% | +6.3 |
