Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Corinthians with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 9 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 19.0% | 35.2% | +16.3 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 59.1% | 46.6% | −12.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 45.6% | 56.0% | +10.4 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 21.7% | 11.2% | −10.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 6.4% | 16.3% | +9.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 16.2% | 25.6% | +9.4 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 12.7% | 22.0% | +9.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 75.7% | 67.5% | −8.2 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 31.6% | 23.5% | −8.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 56.6% | 49.3% | −7.3 |
