Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Santos with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 5 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 61.4% | 71.5% | +10.1 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 36.5% | 46.3% | +9.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 21.3% | 12.4% | −9.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 30.3% | 21.7% | −8.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 22.1% | 30.5% | +8.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 87.5% | 79.7% | −7.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 20.0% | 13.7% | −6.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 69.7% | 75.7% | +6.0 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 10.4% | 16.2% | +5.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 14.4% | 19.2% | +4.8 |
