Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio Barueri beat Goiás with a 24.7% chance and Vitória beat Cruzeiro with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 43.7% | 55.8% | +12.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 48.4% | 36.3% | −12.1 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 46.0% | 57.5% | +11.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 29.9% | 19.5% | −10.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 21.8% | 11.9% | −9.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 45.9% | 54.4% | +8.5 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 21.4% | 29.4% | +8.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 26.1% | 32.9% | +6.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 12.7% | 6.9% | −5.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores Second Round | 11.8% | 16.7% | +4.9 |
