Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Avaí with a 23.8% chance, Athletico-PR beat Grêmio Barueri with a 20.1% chance, Santos beat Grêmio with a 24.0% chance, and Atlético-GO beat Palmeiras with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 36.3% | 21.6% | −14.8 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 48.9% | 63.5% | +14.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 88.3% | 75.3% | −13.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 71.5% | 83.0% | +11.4 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 55.8% | 66.9% | +11.1 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 29.4% | 19.1% | −10.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 57.5% | 48.1% | −9.4 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 19.5% | 27.7% | +8.2 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 32.9% | 41.0% | +8.2 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 17.6% | 25.2% | +7.6 |
