Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Grêmio Barueri with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 8 (before the first match) against those on August 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Champion | 38.9% | 51.3% | +12.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 60.1% | 71.7% | +11.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 56.4% | 45.9% | −10.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 31.5% | 21.8% | −9.7 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 20.2% | 29.9% | +9.7 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 30.8% | 21.4% | −9.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 39.5% | 48.4% | +8.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 35.4% | 43.7% | +8.3 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 34.4% | 26.1% | −8.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 20.1% | 11.9% | −8.3 |
