Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Palmeiras with a 23.2% chance and Fluminense beat Santos with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 29.8% | 100% | +70.2 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 70.2% | 0% | −70.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 68.9% | 0% | −68.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 68.5% | 0% | −68.4 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 31.6% | 100% | +68.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 43.3% | 100% | +56.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 50.0% | 0% | −50.0 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 58.4% | 100% | +41.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 34.0% | 0% | −34.0 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 66.0% | 100% | +34.0 |
