Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Corinthians with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 14 (before the first match) against those on November 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 85.3% | 43.3% | −42.0 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 49.9% | 74.0% | +24.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 11.8% | 32.3% | +20.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 88.2% | 67.7% | −20.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 66.2% | 85.9% | +19.7 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 13.7% | 31.6% | +17.9 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 86.3% | 68.5% | −17.9 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 17.4% | 34.0% | +16.6 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 82.7% | 66.0% | −16.6 |
| Náutico | Sudamericana | 14.7% | 0% | −14.7 |
