Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Grêmio with a 21.6% chance and Internacional beat Vasco with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 1 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 44.9% | 73.7% | +28.8 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 83.6% | 55.3% | −28.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 52.3% | 80.4% | +28.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 65.2% | 39.0% | −26.2 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 34.8% | 61.1% | +26.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 29.4% | 7.7% | −21.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 70.6% | 92.3% | +21.7 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 22.3% | 41.8% | +19.6 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 77.6% | 58.2% | −19.4 |
| Náutico | Sudamericana | 28.3% | 10.9% | −17.4 |
