Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Figueirense with a 24.0% chance, Vasco beat Goiás with a 24.5% chance, and Juventude beat Palmeiras with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 52.5% | 83.6% | +31.1 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 12.4% | 33.1% | +20.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 87.6% | 66.9% | −20.7 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 65.6% | 44.9% | −20.7 |
| Náutico | Sudamericana | 47.6% | 28.3% | −19.3 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 50.2% | 68.7% | +18.6 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 49.8% | 31.3% | −18.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 73.5% | 90.0% | +16.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 78.9% | 65.2% | −13.8 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 21.1% | 34.8% | +13.8 |
