Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Goiás with a 20.2% chance and Botafogo beat Corinthians with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Relegation | 60.0% | 38.6% | −21.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 42.2% | 57.5% | +15.3 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 18.4% | 31.0% | +12.6 |
| Náutico | Sudamericana | 9.5% | 21.5% | +11.9 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 39.3% | 27.5% | −11.8 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 52.3% | 40.7% | −11.6 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 41.6% | 53.2% | +11.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 47.1% | 35.9% | −11.2 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 32.0% | 43.0% | +11.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 30.9% | 20.0% | −10.9 |
