Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Internacional with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Champion | 61.1% | 73.7% | +12.6 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 44.9% | 56.4% | +11.4 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 36.3% | 47.3% | +11.0 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 64.8% | 75.0% | +10.2 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 50.0% | 40.0% | −9.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 33.8% | 43.7% | +9.8 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 44.8% | 54.1% | +9.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 19.4% | 10.4% | −9.0 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 32.9% | 24.1% | −8.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 51.3% | 59.3% | +8.0 |
