Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Corinthians with a 24.8% chance and Palmeiras beat Figueirense with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 35.7% | 47.2% | +11.5 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 30.1% | 18.6% | −11.5 |
| Paraná | Sudamericana | 33.5% | 44.2% | +10.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 39.4% | 50.0% | +10.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 59.1% | 69.2% | +10.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 22.1% | 12.4% | −9.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 23.3% | 13.5% | −9.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 70.9% | 80.5% | +9.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 27.2% | 36.3% | +9.1 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 41.1% | 32.1% | −9.0 |
