Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Santos with a 11.3% chance, Corinthians beat Cruzeiro with a 24.5% chance, and Flamengo beat Goiás with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 13 (before the first match) against those on May 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 65.6% | 44.0% | −21.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 59.8% | 41.0% | −18.7 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 33.7% | 51.7% | +18.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 64.5% | 47.4% | −17.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 31.1% | 15.3% | −15.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 18.5% | 33.1% | +14.6 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 30.8% | 44.4% | +13.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 14.1% | 26.6% | +12.5 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 44.6% | 56.7% | +12.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 26.6% | 14.6% | −12.0 |
